Will Take-Two announce that Grand Theft Auto VI made $1 billion or more in its first three days?

GTA V took three days to $1 billion in 2013 and Take-Two said so in a press release. At $79.99 a copy, GTA VI needs about 12 million copies for the same headline, and analysts forecast 37 to 51 million in week one. The bet is whether Take-Two chooses to announce it.

Resolves YES if Take-Two or Rockstar states by 31 December 2026 that GTA VI reached $1 billion or more in sell-through or revenue within its first three days on sale. A figure for a longer period, or no figure, resolves NO.

Source: Rockstar Newswire and Take-Two press releases.

Closes at 11:00 UTC on Wednesday 18 November 2026, the hour the game first unlocks in New Zealand, so nothing here can be known before the close. Settles on 31 December 2026, or earlier once announced.

If Rockstar delays the game past 31 December 2026, voids and refunds.