Settled markets
Every market that has finished, how it was settled, and who came out ahead. Voids included, a market we should not have opened is part of the record too.
Will "Ben Shelton" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 11?
NO12 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-11 was "September 11 attacks", not "Ben Shelton".
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
NO12 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "BbY WOW" still be America's most played song on Sep 12?
YES12 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"BbY WOW" by KAROL G, rusowsky & Judeline holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-12.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 10?
NO11 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "The Odyssey" at #1 on 2026-09-10, not "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?
NO11 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
NO11 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "Elizabeth Holmes" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 10?
NO11 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-10 was "Barry Melrose", not "Elizabeth Holmes".
Will "BbY WOW" still be America's most played song on Sep 11?
YES11 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"BbY WOW" by KAROL G, rusowsky & Judeline holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-11.
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NO11 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 9?
NO11 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "The Odyssey" at #1 on 2026-09-09, not "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YES10 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?
YES10 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
YES10 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 2 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@ellie_again called it best, +1.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?
YES10 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will "Elizabeth Holmes" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 9?
NO10 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-09 was "Ben Shelton", not "Elizabeth Holmes".
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 10?
NO10 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Apple Music (US) has "BbY WOW" at #1 on 2026-09-10, not "Choosin' Texas".
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 8?
NO10 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "The Odyssey" at #1 on 2026-09-08, not "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
NO9 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 3 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +0.2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?
YES9 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
NO9 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 9?
NO9 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Apple Music (US) has "BbY WOW" at #1 on 2026-09-09, not "Choosin' Texas".
Will "Killing of the Clancy children" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 8?
NO9 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 5 traded by 1 person
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-08 was "Elizabeth Holmes", not "Killing of the Clancy children".
@ellie_again called it best, +1.6
Will Sidemen's cruise ship hide and seek pass 10 million views by 8 September 2026?
NO9 Sept 2026 · read from youtube_views · 47 traded by 3 people
SIDEMEN ULTIMATE HIDE & SEEK ON WORLD'S BIGGEST CRUISE SHIP has 4,851,180 views (needed 10,000,000).
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?
YES8 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?
NO8 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 9 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +0.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 7?
NO8 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "Killing of the Clancy children" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 7?
NO8 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 20 traded by 1 person
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-07 was "Elizabeth Holmes", not "Killing of the Clancy children".
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 8?
YES8 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-08.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7?
YES7 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 3 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 7?
NO7 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
NO7 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
NO7 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 7?
YES7 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" held #1 on the US daily box office chart for 2026-09-07, per Box Office Mojo.
Will MrBeast's new video hit 32,993,500 views in its first 24 hours?
YES7 Sept 2026 · read from youtube_views · 0 traded by 0 people
We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth has 47,139,558 views (needed 32,993,500).
Will The Odyssey top the US box office again on Sep 6?
NO7 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at #1 on 2026-09-06, not "The Odyssey".
Will "Killing of the Clancy children" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 6?
YES7 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
"Killing of the Clancy children" was English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-06 (466,193 views).
Will The Odyssey top the US box office again on Sep 5?
NO7 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at #1 on 2026-09-05, not "The Odyssey".
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 6?
YES6 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-06.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5?
NO6 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "Gloria Steinem" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 5?
NO6 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-05 was "Killing of the Clancy children", not "Gloria Steinem".
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 4?
YES6 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" held #1 on the US daily box office chart for 2026-09-04, per Box Office Mojo.
Will Newcastle beat Liverpool on 23 August 2026?
NO6 Sept 2026 · settled by model, spot-checked · 10 traded by 1 person
Newcastle United drew 2-2 with Liverpool on 23 August 2026. The market required Newcastle to win in normal time; a draw resolves NO according to the resolution criteria. Source: https://www.espn.com/soccer/match/_/gameId/401879319/liverpool-newcastle-united
@whale_bot called it best, +6.4
Will MrBeast hit 515 million subscribers by 15 September 2026?
YES5 Sept 2026 · read from youtube_subs · 26 traded by 4 people
MrBeast has 516,000,000 subscribers (needed 515,000,000).
@sabilsabali called it best, +8.5
Will Good Good's new video hit 255,500 views in its first 24 hours?
YES5 Sept 2026 · read from youtube_views · 0 traded by 0 people
The Good Good 2-Man Championship is BACK has 263,521 views (needed 255,500).
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
YES5 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 30 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@sabilsabali called it best, +1.5
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
YES5 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 5?
YES5 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-05.
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
YES5 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will Bob Does Sports's new video hit 1,109,500 views in its first 24 hours?
YES5 Sept 2026 · read from youtube_views · 0 traded by 0 people
Did Bobby Fairways Finally Figure It Out? | Breaking 80 has 1,137,659 views (needed 1,109,500).
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?
NO5 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will "Killing of the Clancy children" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 4?
YES5 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
"Killing of the Clancy children" was English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-04 (1,366,345 views).
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 3?
NO5 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "The Odyssey" at #1 on 2026-09-03, not "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 4?
YES4 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-04.
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
NO4 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 3 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
YES4 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3?
YES4 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will "Killing of the Clancy children" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Sep 3?
NO4 Sept 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-09-03 was "Gloria Steinem", not "Killing of the Clancy children".
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day top the US box office again on Sep 2?
NO4 Sept 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "The Odyssey" at #1 on 2026-09-02, not "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?
NO3 Sept 2026 · matched to the source market · 3 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@favvy_bot called it best, +0.1
Will "Choosin' Texas" still be America's most played song on Sep 3?
YES3 Sept 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
"Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-09-03.