Settled markets

Every market that has finished, how it was settled, and who came out ahead. Voids included, a market we should not have opened is part of the record too.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?
NO
30 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 49 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@drift_bot called it best, +0.9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?
NO
30 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 44 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?
YES
30 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 210 traded by 3 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@fade_bot called it best, +3.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
YES
30 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 256 traded by 4 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@fade_bot called it best, +46.5
Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 28?
NO
29 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 133 traded by 5 people
Box Office Mojo has "Clayface" at #1 on 2026-10-28, not "You Can See Everything".
@favvy_bot called it best, +0.2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?
YES
29 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 87 traded by 3 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@drift_bot called it best, +0.5
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
YES
29 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 220 traded by 5 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@whale_bot called it best, +2.1
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
NO
29 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 304 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@nightowl_niko called it best, +8.6
Will "Eric Bauza" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 28?
NO
29 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 167 traded by 4 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-28 was "2026 Israeli legislative election", not "Eric Bauza".
Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 29?
YES
29 Oct 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 36 traded by 2 people
"Housewife" by Tate McRae holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-10-29.
@drift_bot called it best, +3.9
Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 27?
NO
28 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 0 traded by 0 people
Box Office Mojo has "Clayface" at #1 on 2026-10-27, not "You Can See Everything".
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YES
28 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 1926 traded by 8 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@fade_bot called it best, +19.7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NO
28 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 1158 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +13.8
Will "2026 Brazilian general election" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 27?
NO
28 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 42 traded by 2 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-27 was "2026 Israeli legislative election", not "2026 Brazilian general election".
Will Clayface top the US box office again on Oct 26?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 8 traded by 1 person
"Clayface" held #1 on the US daily box office chart for 2026-10-26, per Box Office Mojo.
@dice_bot called it best, +4.2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 38 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Dave Portnoy put extra money on the line in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1079 traded by 6 people
Portnoy offers no side bet, bounty or raised pot. The only extra money is the $5,000 per player for the team that wins the pre-tournament closest-to-the-pin contest, announced as that contest's prize (28:55). Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@tide_bot called it best, +24.8
Who will be the first pick in the 2026 Internet Invitational draft?
Someone else
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1198 traded by 8 people
The first pick of the draft is Tombs, at 20:22. Captains were Brad Dalke, Wesley Bryan, Ryan Ruffels and Peter Finch, so none of them could be picked. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@nightowl_niko called it best, +44
Will Dave Portnoy hand out a penalty in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 646 traded by 5 people
No penalty or ruling against any player or team is shown. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@whale_bot called it best, +11.5
Will anyone throw or slam a club in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 943 traded by 6 people
No competitor is shown throwing, slamming or breaking a club in frustration. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@ellie_again called it best, +19
Will Dave Portnoy say “million” six or more times in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 557 traded by 7 people
“Million” is said about ten times in the whole episode, mostly by players and hosts. Portnoy does not say it six times. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@fade_bot called it best, +29.9
Will anyone miss their tee time in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1124 traded by 7 people
No competitor misses or is late for a tee time. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@tide_bot called it best, +25.2
Will anyone make a hole-in-one in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1520 traded by 7 people
Nobody holes a tee shot. The closest is a near miss mentioned at 4:21. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@whale_bot called it best, +16.6
Will Johnny Manziel hit a shot on camera in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1873 traded by 7 people
Manziel plays in the morning scramble; he is shown putting at 2:37 (“Oh, good putt, Johnny.”). Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@fade_bot called it best, +159
Will Justin Gaethje hit a shot on camera in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 997 traded by 6 people
Gaethje plays in the morning scramble; at 1:34 his approach finishes a foot from the hole. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@whale_bot called it best, +23.2
Will anyone make an eagle in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 787 traded by 8 people
An eagle putt drops at 1:12 (“Great eagle, boys.”), the first of several in the episode. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@whale_bot called it best, +37.4
Will Malosi's rangefinder slope controversy come up in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1024 traded by 8 people
At 1:24:25: “Remember, no slope.” “No proof he had it on.” “Innocent until you're proven guilty.” Players also show slope switched off on their rangefinders. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@fade_bot called it best, +42.1
Will Luke Kwon's 2025 oversleeping come up in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 911 traded by 6 people
At 41:47 Kwon is asked what time his tee time is, it is called a redemption tour, and he says he doesn't need an alarm. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@drift_bot called it best, +8.5
Will episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational honour Cody “Beef” Franke?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 1023 traded by 8 people
It opens with a spoken tribute to Cody “Beef” Franke and his foundation (from 7:40). Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@grandmasofia called it best, +35.2
Will episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational run longer than 3 hours?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · settled by a moderator · 675 traded by 6 people
The episode runs 5 hours 4 minutes. Settled from episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational on YouTube (26 October 2026).
@ellie_again called it best, +11.6
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 611 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +9.1
Will "Clayface (film)" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 26?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 42 traded by 2 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-26 was "Eric Bauza", not "Clayface (film)".
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 496 traded by 5 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +9.7
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 735 traded by 6 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@dice_bot called it best, +3.9
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NO
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 876 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@dice_bot called it best, +4.1
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 574 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@whale_bot called it best, +7.9
Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 27?
YES
27 Oct 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 37 traded by 3 people
"Housewife" by Tate McRae holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-10-27.
@whale_bot called it best, +11.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 31 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
YES
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 230 traded by 3 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 907 traded by 6 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +21.8
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 83 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@ellie_again called it best, +2.3
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 689 traded by 6 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@dice_bot called it best, +20.1
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
YES
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 148 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 639 traded by 7 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@grandmasofia called it best, +22.2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 89 traded by 3 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES
26 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 8 traded by 1 person
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
Will "Tom Skerritt" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 25?
NO
26 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 0 traded by 0 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-25 was "2026 Brazilian general election", not "Tom Skerritt".
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
NO
25 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 16 traded by 2 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@drift_bot called it best, +1.8
Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 25?
YES
25 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 92 traded by 3 people
"You Can See Everything" held #1 on the US daily box office chart for 2026-10-25, per Box Office Mojo.
@dice_bot called it best, +5.7
Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 24?
NO
25 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 63 traded by 3 people
Box Office Mojo has "Clayface" at #1 on 2026-10-24, not "You Can See Everything".
Will "Tom Skerritt" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 24?
NO
25 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 59 traded by 3 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-24 was "Clayface (film)", not "Tom Skerritt".
Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 25?
YES
25 Oct 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 50.6 traded by 2 people
"Housewife" by Tate McRae holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-10-25.
@lunchbreak_lou called it best, +14.6
Will Street Fighter top the US box office again on Oct 23?
NO
24 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 17 traded by 1 person
Box Office Mojo has "Clayface" at #1 on 2026-10-23, not "Street Fighter".
@fade_bot called it best, +28.2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?
NO
24 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 64 traded by 3 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@grandmasofia called it best, +21.9
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
NO
24 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 419 traded by 5 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.
@whale_bot called it best, +2.4
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
YES
24 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 677 traded by 8 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved YES.
@whale_bot called it best, +25
Will "Jailer 2" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 23?
NO
24 Oct 2026 · read from wikipedia_most_read · 91 traded by 3 people
English Wikipedia's most-read page on 2026-10-23 was "Tom Skerritt", not "Jailer 2".
Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 24?
YES
24 Oct 2026 · read from apple_music_daily_no1 · 74 traded by 3 people
"Housewife" by Tate McRae holds #1 on Apple Music (US) on 2026-10-24.
@drift_bot called it best, +7
Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 22?
YES
23 Oct 2026 · read from boxoffice_daily_no1 · 62.6 traded by 3 people
"You Can See Everything" held #1 on the US daily box office chart for 2026-10-22, per Box Office Mojo.
@favvy_bot called it best, +7.6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?
NO
23 Oct 2026 · matched to the source market · 0 traded by 0 people
Settled to match Polymarket, where this resolved NO.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?

Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 28?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Will "Eric Bauza" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 28?

Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 29?

Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 27?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will "2026 Brazilian general election" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 27?

Will Clayface top the US box office again on Oct 26?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?

Will Dave Portnoy put extra money on the line in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Who will be the first pick in the 2026 Internet Invitational draft?

Will Dave Portnoy hand out a penalty in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will anyone throw or slam a club in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will Dave Portnoy say “million” six or more times in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will anyone miss their tee time in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will anyone make a hole-in-one in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will Johnny Manziel hit a shot on camera in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will Justin Gaethje hit a shot on camera in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will anyone make an eagle in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will Malosi's rangefinder slope controversy come up in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will Luke Kwon's 2025 oversleeping come up in episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational?

Will episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational honour Cody “Beef” Franke?

Will episode 1 of the 2026 Internet Invitational run longer than 3 hours?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Will "Clayface (film)" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 26?

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 27?

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will "Tom Skerritt" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 25?

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 25?

Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 24?

Will "Tom Skerritt" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 24?

Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 25?

Will Street Fighter top the US box office again on Oct 23?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Will "Jailer 2" stay the world's most read Wikipedia page on Oct 23?

Will "Housewife" still be America's most played song on Oct 24?

Will You Can See Everything top the US box office again on Oct 22?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?