Will it rain in New York this weekend?

92%chance it happens

YES 92%

NO 8%

resolved YES

Chance over time

92%chance of yes

The most ordinary possible question, settled from a real record.

Resolves YES if New York City records measurable precipitation on either Saturday or Sunday of the market weekend.

Source: Open-Meteo daily precipitation for 40.7128, -74.0060.

Settles on the Monday following the weekend, once the archive record is published.

Measurable means 0.1mm or more in a day. A trace resolves NO.

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