Who will win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

The Nobel Peace Prize is the award Alfred Nobel's will placed in Norway: a five-member committee appointed by Norway's parliament picks the laureate, and the announcement is made in Oslo. The 2026 field is 287 nominees (208 people and 79 organizations), and the committee loves a surprise: 2025 went to María Corina Machado when few boards had her on top.

Resolves to the listed answer that is announced as the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate on Friday 9 October 2026 (scheduled for 11:00 CEST). If the prize is shared and exactly one listed answer is among the laureates, resolves to that answer; if two or more listed answers share it, resolves to the one listed highest in this market. "The International Court of Justice or International Criminal Court" covers either court, alone or together. If no listed candidate is among the laureates, resolves to "Someone or something else".

Source: the official announcement published on nobelprize.org.

Settles on the official announcement, scheduled for 9 October 2026, 11:00 CEST. Closes 8 October 2026, 23:59 CEST.

If the committee announces that no 2026 prize will be awarded, or no laureate has been announced by 31 December 2026, voids and refunds. If nobelprize.org is unavailable at settlement, voids.