Will Bitcoin trade above $70,000 before the end of July 2026?
24%chance it happens
YES 24%
NO 76%
resolved NO
Chance over time
24%chance of yes
A round number that the market has been circling. Any touch counts, not just the close.
Resolves YES if BTC-USD trades at or above $70,000.00 at any point before the deadline.
Source: the Coinbase BTC-USD spot market.
Settles on 31 July 2026, 23:59 ET.
An intraday wick above the level counts, this is a touch question, not a close question. Prices on other exchanges are not used.
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