Will California be in drought at the end of August 2026?

California's water situation swings hard year to year. This pins it to an official map rather than a vibe.

Resolves YES if any part of California is classified D1 (Moderate Drought) or worse.

Source: the U.S. Drought Monitor California map.

The Monitor publishes on Thursdays; this settles on the first release covering 31 August 2026.

D0 (Abnormally Dry) alone resolves NO, it is explicitly not a drought category. If the Drought Monitor stops publishing before then, this voids and refunds.