Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
25%chance it happens
YES 25%
NO 75%
resolved YES
Chance over time
25%chance of yes
The AI trade, expressed as a single number on a single day.
Resolves YES if NVIDIA has the largest market capitalisation of any publicly listed company at the close on 31 July 2026.
Source: closing market capitalisation as reported by CompaniesMarketCap.
Settles after the US close on 31 July 2026, 4:00pm ET.
Only publicly listed companies count; state-owned entities that do not trade freely are excluded. This market settles automatically to match Polymarket's UMA oracle.
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