FORESEE

Tech & AI

Will OpenAI cease independent operation before August 2028?

22%chance it happens

resolved NO

Chance over time

22%chance of yes
0255075100Jul 27now

"Collapse" was never defined on the original version of this question, so here it is defined properly.

Resolves YES if OpenAI files for bankruptcy protection, is acquired such that it no longer operates as an independent entity, or publicly announces it is ceasing operations.

Source: OpenAI's official announcements and filings reported by the Associated Press or Reuters.

Settles on 1 August 2028, 23:59 ET.

Layoffs, executive departures, losing money, or a down round do not count. A restructuring that leaves OpenAI operating under its own name resolves NO.

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