Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" open above $230M domestically?

Sony is betting big on this one, and the question is whether it opens huge or merely well.

Resolves YES if the film's domestic opening-weekend gross is $230,000,000 or more. Exactly $230,000,000 resolves YES.

Source: Box Office Mojo domestic opening weekend, three-day figure.

Settles once Box Office Mojo posts final rather than estimated weekend numbers, typically the Monday after release.

Preview and Thursday-night grosses count toward the three-day total only where Box Office Mojo includes them. If the release is delayed past 4 August 2026, this resolves NO; if cancelled, it voids and refunds.