Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

The "they sit on their hands" side of the July FOMC decision.

Resolves YES if the FOMC leaves the federal funds target range unchanged at its July 2026 meeting.

Source: the FOMC statement published at the conclusion of the meeting.

Settles on 29 July 2026, immediately after the statement is released at 2:00pm ET.

Any change to the target range, up or down, resolves NO. This market settles automatically to match Polymarket's UMA oracle, which reads the same statement.